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#11
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David Nebenzahl wrote:
On 10/16/2004 4:46 PM Donald Qualls spake thus: Let's try this one: can your former employers, specializing in data format conversion, read a Coleco Adam data tape? Hint: if you find one, it'll look exactly like an obsolete audio cassette -- because it is. But if you play it in an audio player, you'll get only a very loud, very raucous blaring noise; most computer users today wouldn't even recognize it as a data encoding signal (it doesn't sound at all like modem or fax tones). Or how about the same storage media written by a Commodore Pet? Both were fairly popular hobbyist computers in their day (around 25+ years ago), and both had at least a small business presence. Well, for that matter, how about the original cassette BASIC storage system for the first IBM PC? (I remember using those on school.) But anyhow, the answer is "yes": someone could be found out there who has the hardware & software to read these. "Out there" -- as in where "the truth" is?? Yes, there probably is someone, somewhere, with a working Adam, or Pet, or original 64k PC, or even Tandy Pocket Computer. OTOH, my experience was that those tapes didn't always read back even ten minutes after they were written -- yep, I know, that's media deterioration, not format obsolescence. I didn't, however, ask about "someone" "out there" -- I asked about a specific format conversion service. Or do you think, when someone's grandkids find a CD-R in the attic, they'll be able to find "someone" "out there" who still has an antique system with drivers and compatible hardware to read media that hasn't been made in 30 years? Hell, I remember handling 8" floppies and seeing the drives for them on sale (as salvage, but still working) after I owned my first DOS machine, but I'd have to place an ad to find a place that can read one now. And I might not find one close enough to drive to, now that I'm in small-town North Carolina instead of Tech City, aka Seattle. If I have that much trouble with a medium that's less than 20 years obsolete, what'll it be like when those disks are 50 or 100 years old? Even if the magnetic domains in the coating haven't randomized -- analog video recordings from 50 years ago are still playable, if you can find a machine that can play them, so I suppose it's possible -- will anyone, anywhere, have a working 8" drive, with the hardware interface and software drivers to read it? And will that drive handle the dozen or so incompatible formats that were in use as of 1982 or so? Heck, how did your data conversion service handle 8" disks? Hard sector or soft, how many sectors, single or double side, single or double density -- unlike the later, smaller disk standards, there was never one drive that could read all of them. Did they somehow keep at least one drive working for each of those formats? And a computer that could talk to all those drives? Even if they did, how many years can that continue? Electronics eventually fail -- they have to, it's a quantum effect of current flow in semiconductors -- and when they do, where will you find replacements for the chips? And still, even if it's technically feasible to read those formats, who'll really bother? -- I may be a scwewy wabbit, but I'm not going to Alcatwaz! -- E. J. Fudd, 1954 Donald Qualls, aka The Silent Observer Lathe Building Pages http://silent1.home.netcom.com/HomebuiltLathe.htm Speedway 7x12 Lathe Pages http://silent1.home.netcom.com/my7x12.htm Opinions expressed are my own -- take them for what they're worth and don't expect them to be perfect. |
#12
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David Nebenzahl wrote: Leaving aside any of the philosophical and semantic aspects of his argument, there's one glaring error in it. He asserts that because digital formats change (which is true) that digital images made now will become unreadable in the future. Now, if one is discussing images made on physical media (film), there *is* the distinct possibility that the image will be rendered unusable through time because of physical degradation of the image. (Witness movies on nitrate stock and color negatives or slides with unstable dyes.) The difference is if silver images on film or other substrates are properly stored, they _will_ last indefinitely and the only technology required to "read" them is the human eye. Which, BTW, is not a technology subject to the whims and changes of the marketplace or manufacturing. Quite a significant difference and one you completely ignore. That's the "flaw" in your reasoning. There is no flaw in my reasoning since the marketplace bears it out. And in the case of digital media, there is always the possibility that the image will become unreadable because of *physical* degradation of the media (tape, magnetic disc, optical disc, etc.) Not a possibility. An inevitability. These media _will_ degrade no matter how they are stored and cannot be preserved indefinitely in and of themselves. Go, ask 3M, Verbatim, and other manufacturers of such digital media (I have...) However, assuming that the *physical media* remains intact, it is very, very unlikely that any digitally-recorded image will ever become unreadable in the future. I do know something about this, having worked for a computer media conversion and duplication company for 13 years. In that one small company alone, there exists the ability to read many obsolete digital formats (meaning both the equuipment and the software to decipher the data and deliver it in a usable form): specifically, 9-track tape (remember the old movies with the computers with the spinning tape drives?) and floppy disks, including the old 8" monsters. For the _average_ person the inability to read data on outmoded media due to the constant changes in drive technology is a fact. If you'd read these various threads I've already answered this and provided examples. For instance, I have a music collection on cassette tape. But due to changes in the market and technology manufacturers have stopped making cassette tape decks, and CD players sure can't read my tapes... As a digital analogy, well sure if I take them to a specialized service bureau I could have my tapes read and even transferred to CD. But like data recovery, this is an outrageously expensive service for the average person whio is just going to dump the tapes and buy into CD and CD players. What we're talking about here is the common consumer, phototgrapher, snapshootist, etc. Not museums or government agencies that have unlimited resources to maintain old data and old technology. For the average person, such services or transfers are generally cost prohibitive. And digital data maintenance and upkeep is expensive also. I have a CD recorder I paid several hundred dollars for some years ago. It's now useless since it can't read and write to the newer CD-R media being made. The manufacturers don't care about my old data, or making it so things are backwrds compatible; their goal is to get consumers to buy NEW products and keep their profits high. That's how the market works and you know it as well as everyone else. Likely my outmoded CD-R storage discs will also not be able to be read by new drives in the near furture. You're argument simply isn't borne out by the realities of the marketplace. You're talking about what's technically possible. I'm talking about what's practical and real. I'm confident that even data on paper tape could be read; someone, somewhere, has a paper-tape reader connected to his S-100 system (running CP/M), or some other moldy oldie. And if not, a reader could pretty easily be cobbled together. The point is that humanity doesn't collectively forget its own obsolete recording formats, Just try to find a store where you can buy new music on cassette tape :-) Or Vynal, or... I went to buy Bob Dylan's Essentials album recently. Only available on CD. Even an oldie like Zimmerman recognizes the changing market place (if he wants to sell albums...) just because something new comes along. Sure, the old formats fall into disuse and become difficult to use, but not impossible. The knowledge of how to read and decipher all these old devices and formats still exists, somewhere. Why, in this very house, I can right now play 78 rpm records if I like, or 45s even. I can also read all of my old 5-1/4" floppies on my computer. I'd like someone to try to name a data storage format (either physical medium or data format) that they think cannot be read today. You're in fact using outmoded storage media on your own outmoded drives and technology. The reality is, the more time goes by the less viable that will be. You can't go out and buy 78rpms anymore, nor soon the turntables to play them. They're already a specialty item dinosaur and you know it. I have a early 1950's television set. Vacuum tubes. Can't get cable on it, and very very soon I won't even be able to pick up local broadcast stations and the industry doesn't care and isn't going to support such old technology. Tough luck, buy new. It's dead technology and the more time passses the deader and more useless it gets. Again, that's how the market works and digital is no exception. But with images on film technology isn't an issue. Even if you're half blind all you'll need is a magnifying glass. |
#13
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David Nebenzahl wrote: Leaving aside any of the philosophical and semantic aspects of his argument, there's one glaring error in it. He asserts that because digital formats change (which is true) that digital images made now will become unreadable in the future. Now, if one is discussing images made on physical media (film), there *is* the distinct possibility that the image will be rendered unusable through time because of physical degradation of the image. (Witness movies on nitrate stock and color negatives or slides with unstable dyes.) The difference is if silver images on film or other substrates are properly stored, they _will_ last indefinitely and the only technology required to "read" them is the human eye. Which, BTW, is not a technology subject to the whims and changes of the marketplace or manufacturing. Quite a significant difference and one you completely ignore. That's the "flaw" in your reasoning. There is no flaw in my reasoning since the marketplace bears it out. And in the case of digital media, there is always the possibility that the image will become unreadable because of *physical* degradation of the media (tape, magnetic disc, optical disc, etc.) Not a possibility. An inevitability. These media _will_ degrade no matter how they are stored and cannot be preserved indefinitely in and of themselves. Go, ask 3M, Verbatim, and other manufacturers of such digital media (I have...) However, assuming that the *physical media* remains intact, it is very, very unlikely that any digitally-recorded image will ever become unreadable in the future. I do know something about this, having worked for a computer media conversion and duplication company for 13 years. In that one small company alone, there exists the ability to read many obsolete digital formats (meaning both the equuipment and the software to decipher the data and deliver it in a usable form): specifically, 9-track tape (remember the old movies with the computers with the spinning tape drives?) and floppy disks, including the old 8" monsters. For the _average_ person the inability to read data on outmoded media due to the constant changes in drive technology is a fact. If you'd read these various threads I've already answered this and provided examples. For instance, I have a music collection on cassette tape. But due to changes in the market and technology manufacturers have stopped making cassette tape decks, and CD players sure can't read my tapes... As a digital analogy, well sure if I take them to a specialized service bureau I could have my tapes read and even transferred to CD. But like data recovery, this is an outrageously expensive service for the average person whio is just going to dump the tapes and buy into CD and CD players. What we're talking about here is the common consumer, phototgrapher, snapshootist, etc. Not museums or government agencies that have unlimited resources to maintain old data and old technology. For the average person, such services or transfers are generally cost prohibitive. And digital data maintenance and upkeep is expensive also. I have a CD recorder I paid several hundred dollars for some years ago. It's now useless since it can't read and write to the newer CD-R media being made. The manufacturers don't care about my old data, or making it so things are backwrds compatible; their goal is to get consumers to buy NEW products and keep their profits high. That's how the market works and you know it as well as everyone else. Likely my outmoded CD-R storage discs will also not be able to be read by new drives in the near furture. You're argument simply isn't borne out by the realities of the marketplace. You're talking about what's technically possible. I'm talking about what's practical and real. I'm confident that even data on paper tape could be read; someone, somewhere, has a paper-tape reader connected to his S-100 system (running CP/M), or some other moldy oldie. And if not, a reader could pretty easily be cobbled together. The point is that humanity doesn't collectively forget its own obsolete recording formats, Just try to find a store where you can buy new music on cassette tape :-) Or Vynal, or... I went to buy Bob Dylan's Essentials album recently. Only available on CD. Even an oldie like Zimmerman recognizes the changing market place (if he wants to sell albums...) just because something new comes along. Sure, the old formats fall into disuse and become difficult to use, but not impossible. The knowledge of how to read and decipher all these old devices and formats still exists, somewhere. Why, in this very house, I can right now play 78 rpm records if I like, or 45s even. I can also read all of my old 5-1/4" floppies on my computer. I'd like someone to try to name a data storage format (either physical medium or data format) that they think cannot be read today. You're in fact using outmoded storage media on your own outmoded drives and technology. The reality is, the more time goes by the less viable that will be. You can't go out and buy 78rpms anymore, nor soon the turntables to play them. They're already a specialty item dinosaur and you know it. I have a early 1950's television set. Vacuum tubes. Can't get cable on it, and very very soon I won't even be able to pick up local broadcast stations and the industry doesn't care and isn't going to support such old technology. Tough luck, buy new. It's dead technology and the more time passses the deader and more useless it gets. Again, that's how the market works and digital is no exception. But with images on film technology isn't an issue. Even if you're half blind all you'll need is a magnifying glass. |
#14
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"David Nebenzahl" wrote in message ... The ability to read magnetically or optically recorded media will slowly deteriorate and become extinct over time. It will happen and there is nothing to be done about this problem. The data contained on those media will need to be copied to state of the art systems in order to maintain archiving. This is one way that data created today will be available to future generations. To say the devices will exist to transfer these media to state of the art systems in 100 years is flawed. 7 track, 9 track, punch card/tape technology, flexible floppy disk (8", 5 1/4", etc) has only been 'out of service' for a few years. We were still using 7 track tape system and level 7 punch tape in the military up to 5 years ago. Do you think for one minute those drives will be working and able to read data from tapes in another 95 years? I sincerely doubt it. There are too many likelihoods of mechanical and electronic failure without replacement part. Electrolytic capacitors dry out and blow up. Metals oxidize. Plastics dry out and become brittle and break. And so on. What about the servicing technicians. No one will be there that fully understands the technology. It happens every day today. Just try to find someone to troubleshoot old 2400 baud, RS-232 system and your technician is in his last weeks before retirement. The only way to avoid the inability to read data in 100 years is in paragraph 1 of this post. Now, all those photos taken by Mr. and Mrs. Average are not going to be cheaply recoverable to their great grandkids. Sorry, not going to happen. Jim |
#15
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"David Nebenzahl" wrote in message ... The ability to read magnetically or optically recorded media will slowly deteriorate and become extinct over time. It will happen and there is nothing to be done about this problem. The data contained on those media will need to be copied to state of the art systems in order to maintain archiving. This is one way that data created today will be available to future generations. To say the devices will exist to transfer these media to state of the art systems in 100 years is flawed. 7 track, 9 track, punch card/tape technology, flexible floppy disk (8", 5 1/4", etc) has only been 'out of service' for a few years. We were still using 7 track tape system and level 7 punch tape in the military up to 5 years ago. Do you think for one minute those drives will be working and able to read data from tapes in another 95 years? I sincerely doubt it. There are too many likelihoods of mechanical and electronic failure without replacement part. Electrolytic capacitors dry out and blow up. Metals oxidize. Plastics dry out and become brittle and break. And so on. What about the servicing technicians. No one will be there that fully understands the technology. It happens every day today. Just try to find someone to troubleshoot old 2400 baud, RS-232 system and your technician is in his last weeks before retirement. The only way to avoid the inability to read data in 100 years is in paragraph 1 of this post. Now, all those photos taken by Mr. and Mrs. Average are not going to be cheaply recoverable to their great grandkids. Sorry, not going to happen. Jim |
#16
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Tom Phillips wrote in message ...
David Nebenzahl wrote: Leaving aside any of the philosophical and semantic aspects of his argument, there's one glaring error in it. He asserts that because digital formats change (which is true) that digital images made now will become unreadable in the future. Now, if one is discussing images made on physical media (film), there *is* the distinct possibility that the image will be rendered unusable through time because of physical degradation of the image. (Witness movies on nitrate stock and color negatives or slides with unstable dyes.) The difference is if silver images on film or other substrates are properly stored, they _will_ last indefinitely and the only technology required to "read" them is the human eye. You can read undeveloped film? Undeveloped film is exactly analogous to stored data. It requires some 'processing' and 'printing' to be usable by human beings. |
#17
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Tom Phillips wrote in message ...
David Nebenzahl wrote: Leaving aside any of the philosophical and semantic aspects of his argument, there's one glaring error in it. He asserts that because digital formats change (which is true) that digital images made now will become unreadable in the future. Now, if one is discussing images made on physical media (film), there *is* the distinct possibility that the image will be rendered unusable through time because of physical degradation of the image. (Witness movies on nitrate stock and color negatives or slides with unstable dyes.) The difference is if silver images on film or other substrates are properly stored, they _will_ last indefinitely and the only technology required to "read" them is the human eye. You can read undeveloped film? Undeveloped film is exactly analogous to stored data. It requires some 'processing' and 'printing' to be usable by human beings. |
#18
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"David Nebenzahl" wrote in message ... Leaving aside any of the philosophical and semantic aspects of his argument, there's one glaring error in it. He asserts that because digital formats change (which is true) that digital images made now will become unreadable in the future. Now, if one is discussing images made on physical media (film), there *is* the distinct possibility that the image will be rendered unusable through time because of physical degradation of the image. (Witness movies on nitrate stock and color negatives or slides with unstable dyes.) And in the case of digital media, there is always the possibility that the image will become unreadable because of *physical* degradation of the media (tape, magnetic disc, optical disc, etc.) However, assuming that the *physical media* remains intact, it is very, very unlikely that any digitally-recorded image will ever become unreadable in the future. Lets stop talking 10,20 years etc, and think 2000 years. How many relics have archeologists uncovered, that are completely and utterly confusing. The statues at Easter Island for example - for all we know they may have encoded into them the photographs of a now extinct race. Now lets say that we have a pompei-like event and my b&w negs, prints, slides, and CDR's are all buried and sealed, and forgotten about for a couple of millenia. Then in 4000AD some archeologists digs up my house and finds these black and white negatives - they will probably have decayed somewhat, but I'd hazard a guess that there will still be some elements of the photograph that will be viewable. My prints and slides will have probably faded a bit worse, so I'm not sure whether there will be a viewable image on them, but I suspect there probably will be at least a faint faded image. Then the archeologist will encounter these funny round plastic discs that have a bit of writing on one side and a bluish reflective surface on the other. Will the archeologist be able to work out that there are millions of minute variations in the reflective surface that contain binary representations of compressed picture information. If he works out that there are variations in the reflective surface, will he be able to read the 1's and 0's. If he reads the 1's and 0's will he be able to reconstruct the file system to locate the particular files. If he reconstructs the file system will he be able to decode the .JPG files to create usable pictures? Assuming that the digital version has remained 100% intact and that the film decays, the film will still have more usable information, because it only has to be looked at to see the image - sure the image won't be perfect, but it will be viewable. I do know something about this, having worked for a computer media conversion and duplication company for 13 years. In that one small company alone, there exists the ability to read many obsolete digital formats (meaning both the equuipment and the software to decipher the data and deliver it in a usable form): specifically, 9-track tape (remember the old movies with the computers with the spinning tape drives?) and floppy disks, including the old 8" monsters. I'm confident that even data on paper tape could be read; someone, somewhere, has a paper-tape reader connected to his S-100 system (running CP/M), or some other moldy oldie. And if not, a reader could pretty easily be cobbled together. A paper-tape reader would be relatively easy to construct, but probably still out of the realm of the average joe who finds a bunch of paper tape in his grandfather's attic. He will however be able to view his grandfather's slides just by looking at them. Reading the data off old tape reels or old hard drive canisters would be significantly harder than reading paper tape, and does rely on being able to find someone who has the appropriate equipment. As time goes on, that equipment becomes more and more scarce. And even if you can access the raw digital data, you then need to be able to determine the format it was stored in to be able to reconstruct that data into usable form. The point is that humanity doesn't collectively forget its own obsolete recording formats, just because something new comes along. Sure, the old formats fall into disuse and become difficult to use, but not impossible. The knowledge of how to read and decipher all these old devices and formats still exists, somewhere. Why, in this very house, I can right now play 78 rpm records if I like, or 45s even. I can also read all of my old 5-1/4" floppies on my computer. I'd like someone to try to name a data storage format (either physical medium or data format) that they think cannot be read today. -- Everybody's worried about stopping terrorism. Well, there's a really easy way: stop participating in it. - Noam Chomsky |
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